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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Forresthill Estates Eviction Risk: Moderate , Valdosta

Tract 13185010801 · Lowndes County, GA · pop 3,769 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 13185010801 covers Forresthill Estates in Valdosta, home to 3,769 residents. For landlords it grades 5.9/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 72nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

42% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $731 a month while the average household earns $39,781 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 48% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 28% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,395
Renter share47.8%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate8.6%
Median income$39,781

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Forresthill Estates
Moderate
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 18 tracts In Valdosta
Low
Within county
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 29 tracts In Lowndes County
Moderate
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#567 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Valdosta and the region

Centroid at 30.8215, -83.2496 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forresthill Estates scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Valdosta
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
8.6% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$731 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Valdosta
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Valdosta
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Valdosta
8.1

How Forresthill Estates compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forresthill Estates risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 010801Valdosta: 2.82.8Valdostaparent cityCounty: 5.25.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forresthill Estates

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Valdosta eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lowndes County average of 6.1 and above the Georgia statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 23.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 13185010801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13185010801?

Census tract 13185010801 in the Forresthill Estates neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 13185010801?

Median gross rent is $731/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 13185010801?

8.6% of residents in tract 13185010801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,769.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 13185010801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 88th, minority 89th, housing 61th.
Q5

Is tract 13185010801 considered part of Forresthill Estates?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13185010801 fall within Forresthill Estates (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 13185010801 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 13185010801 compare to Valdosta overall?

Tract 13185010801 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Valdosta at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Valdosta eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Valdosta

Top eight tracts in Valdosta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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