Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Forresthill Estates Eviction Risk: Moderate , Valdosta
Tract 13185010801 · Lowndes County, GA · pop 3,769 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
13185010801 is a census tract in the Forresthill Estates area of Valdosta, GA. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,395
Renter share47.8%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate8.6%
Median income$39,781
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
35
th percentile
Low
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Valdosta and the region
Centroid at 30.8215, -83.2496 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forresthill Estates scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Valdosta
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
8.6% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$731 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Valdosta
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Valdosta
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Valdosta
8.1
How Forresthill Estates compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.0%Housing insecurity
- 14.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.6%Food insecurity
- 23.6%SNAP enrollment
- 13.9%Transit barriers
- 15.8%No health insurance
- 18.5%Frequent mental distress
- 37.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forresthill Estates
The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.5/10. Average gross rent is $731, 31% below the Valdosta average.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. Food insecurity runs 27.6% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 23.6% against 15.2% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
42% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Lowndes County average of 4.9 closely.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $39,781. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 13185010801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13185010801?
Census tract 13185010801 in the Forresthill Estates neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13185010801?
Median gross rent is $731/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13185010801?
8.6% of residents in tract 13185010801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,769.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13185010801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 88th, minority 89th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 13185010801 considered part of Forresthill Estates?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13185010801 fall within Forresthill Estates (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 13185010801 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 13185010801 compare to Valdosta overall?
Tract 13185010801 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Valdosta at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Valdosta eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Valdosta
Top eight tracts in Valdosta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · GA
Provident
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Hallmark Heights
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
13185011402
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Charter Oaks
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
South Ree Springs
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Prescott
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Provident
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Forrest Place
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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