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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Kakaako Waterfront Eviction Risk: High , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003003900 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 343 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 15003003900 sits in the Kakaako Waterfront area of Urban Honolulu eviction risk, HI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. Population here is 343. Cost burden runs 79% here against 50.9% across Honolulu County.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 62% Stable renters 17% Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units252
Renter share78.2%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate18.6%
Median income$20,682

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Kakaako Waterfront
Very High
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 132 tracts In Urban Honolulu
High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.2998, -157.8655 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kakaako Waterfront scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
18.6% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$742 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6

How Kakaako Waterfront compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kakaako Waterfront risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.0This tracttract 0039006.6Urban Honoluluparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kakaako Waterfront. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kakaako Waterfront

The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $742, 59% below the Urban Honolulu average. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

Annualized rent equals 43% of average household income of $20,682, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.

This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Against the Honolulu County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. Food insecurity runs 33.3% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 29.5% against 15.2% nationally. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Nationally it ranks #7,836 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003003900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003900?

Census tract 15003003900 in the Kakaako Waterfront neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003003900?

Median gross rent is $742/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003900?

18.6% of residents in tract 15003003900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 343.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 74th, minority 81th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 15003003900 considered part of Kakaako Waterfront?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003900 fall within Kakaako Waterfront (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003003900 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003003900 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003003900 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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