Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Makalapa Housing Eviction Risk: Moderate , Urban Honolulu
Tract 15003006816 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,105 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 15003006816 sits in the Makalapa Housing area of Urban Honolulu eviction risk, HI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. It is home to 2,105 residents. 16% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Honolulu County average of 50.9%.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units514
Renter share25.9%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$137,868
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
36
th percentile
Low
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region
Centroid at 21.3476, -157.9188 · click any tract to drill in
Why Makalapa Housing scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,109 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6
How Makalapa Housing compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Makalapa Housing. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.4%Food insecurity
- 8.1%SNAP enrollment
- 6.0%Transit barriers
- 4.5%No health insurance
- 12.7%Frequent mental distress
- 25.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Makalapa Housing
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10.
Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. At $2,109 a month, rents run 16% over what the rest of Urban Honolulu commands.
SNAP participation runs 8.1% against 15.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Honolulu County average of 6.0 closely.
Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $137,868. 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 15003006816
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003006816?
Census tract 15003006816 in the Makalapa Housing neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15003006816?
Median gross rent is $2,109/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15003006816?
4.2% of residents in tract 15003006816 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,105.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15003006816?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 50th, minority 96th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 15003006816 considered part of Makalapa Housing?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003006816 fall within Makalapa Housing (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 15003006816 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 15003006816 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?
Tract 15003006816 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu
Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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