Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 16019970405 · Bonneville County, ID · pop 9,163 · 62% of tract blocks fall in Lincoln
Lincoln is where census tract 16019970405 sits, home to 9,163 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 3.8/10. That is riskier than about 9% of US census tracts.
21% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,618 monthly, set against $87,839 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 20% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units2,572
Renter share20.2%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$87,839
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
National
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lincoln and the region
Centroid at 43.5125, -111.9678 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Idaho legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,618 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
5.9
How Lincoln compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.5%Food insecurity
- 7.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 10.3%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 28.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Bonneville County average of 3.4 and in line with the Idaho statewide average of 4.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.
Frequently asked
About tract 16019970405
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 16019970405?
Census tract 16019970405 in Lincoln scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 16019970405?
Median gross rent is $1,618/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 16019970405?
8.4% of residents in tract 16019970405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,163.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 16019970405?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 62th, minority 26th, housing 65th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 16019970405 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 16019970405 compare to Lincoln overall?
Tract 16019970405 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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