Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally
Edgewater Beach Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031030603 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,305 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 7.4/10, tract 17031030603 in the Edgewater Beach area of Chicago, IL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,305. 89% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 57%
Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units1,342
Renter share88.5%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$54,415
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9855, -87.6584 · click any tract to drill in
Why Edgewater Beach scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,148 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Edgewater Beach compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 620Total filings over 15 yrs
- 3.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.7%Peak (2001)
- 27Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 69% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Edgewater Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.2%Housing insecurity
- 8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.0%Food insecurity
- 12.9%SNAP enrollment
- 8.3%Transit barriers
- 9.0%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 20.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Edgewater Beach
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. 35% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Cook County average of 45.6%. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
It sits 1.3 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. At $1,148 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 620 filings here across 15 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2001 at 5.7% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #10,727 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 6.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.3 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031030603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031030603?
Census tract 17031030603 in the Edgewater Beach neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031030603?
Median gross rent is $1,148/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031030603?
12.9% of residents in tract 17031030603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,305.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031030603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 15th, minority 69th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 17031030603 considered part of Edgewater Beach?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031030603 fall within Edgewater Beach (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031030603?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 620 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031030603 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.16% of renter households, peaking at 5.7% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031030603 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031030603 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031030603 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031030603 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Fifth City
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
The Bush
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Princeton Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
K-Town Historic District
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Brighton
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Becks Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
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