South Lynn Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 45.8% against 15.2% nationally.

Annualized rent equals 46% of average household income of $25,849, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Housing insecurity runs 32.8% against 14.2% nationally. On the high side, economic stress reads 8.9/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.

At $994 a month, rents run 31% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 519 evictions over 15 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2001 at 15.4% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 7.7% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.