Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Buena Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago
Tract 17031031400 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,685 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Eviction risk in the Buena Park neighborhood of Chicago centers on tract 17031031400, which scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,685 residents. It lands near the 72nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 51% of renter households, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,474 monthly, set against $87,500 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units3,182
Renter share51.7%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$87,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
23
th percentile
Low
Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9584, -87.6424 · click any tract to drill in
Why Buena Park scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,474 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Buena Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 12%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 706Total filings over 15 yrs
- 3.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.5%Peak (2011)
- 20Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 39% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Buena Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.5%Food insecurity
- 5.5%SNAP enrollment
- 4.5%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 12.3%Frequent mental distress
- 18.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Buena Park
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicago eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cook County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031031400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031031400?
Census tract 17031031400 in the Buena Park neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031031400?
Median gross rent is $1,474/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031031400?
4.9% of residents in tract 17031031400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,685.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031031400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 7th, minority 43th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 17031031400 considered part of Buena Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031031400 fall within Buena Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031031400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 706 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031031400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.45% of renter households, peaking at 5.5% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031031400 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031031400 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031031400 scores 4.4/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031031400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Becks Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Pacific Junction
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Homan Square
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Central Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
North Kenwood
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Argyle Street
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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