Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Marshall Square Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031844700 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,753 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

17031844700 is a census tract in the Marshall Square area of Chicago, IL. It scores 8.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,753. The severe-burden share is 45%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

8.1

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 32% Owners 39%

Tract context

Occupied units683

Renter share60.5%

SVI overall0.91

Poverty rate28.1%

Median income$69,583

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8541, -87.7117 · click any tract to drill in

Why Marshall Square scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chicago

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.5

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

28.1% poverty · this tract

7.0

Supply constraint

$1,350 rent vs county FMR

2.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chicago

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chicago

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chicago

6.5

How Marshall Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

96%Socioeconomic
45%Household composition
97%Racial/ethnic minority
85%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
100%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Marshall Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

29.9%Housing insecurity
19.2%Utility-shutoff threat
36.2%Food insecurity
35.7%SNAP enrollment
17.1%Transit barriers
14.3%No health insurance
19.2%Frequent mental distress
32.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Marshall Square

SNAP participation runs 35.7% against 15.2% nationally. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10.

Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. Housing insecurity runs 29.9% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.5/10.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 3.0 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031844700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031844700?

Census tract 17031844700 in the Marshall Square neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17031844700?

Median gross rent is $1,350/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031844700?

28.1% of residents in tract 17031844700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,753.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031844700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 45th, minority 97th, housing 85th.

Is tract 17031844700 considered part of Marshall Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031844700 fall within Marshall Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17031844700 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17031844700 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031844700 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17031844700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.