Neighborhood · Ranked #34,663 of 84,120 nationally

Bowmanville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago

Tract 17031040402 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,581 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 17031040402 sits in the Bowmanville neighborhood of Chicago, Illinois. It has a population of 4,581 and an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). 31% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 11% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,691/month against a median household income of $94,541 — roughly 21% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

5.5

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 50% Owners 27%

Tract context

Occupied units2,494

Renter share73.6%

SVI overall0.19

Poverty rate7.7%

Median income$94,541

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.9725, -87.6788 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bowmanville scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chicago

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.5

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

7.7% poverty · this tract

1.9

Supply constraint

$1,691 rent vs county FMR

4.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chicago

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chicago

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chicago

6.5

How Bowmanville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 19

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

31%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
42%Racial/ethnic minority
45%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C — Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
72%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

346Total filings over 15 yrs
1.66%Avg annual filing rate
4.0%Peak (2001)
12Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2001 — 2015

Filings dropped 79% over the past 15 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bowmanville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.7%Housing insecurity
4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
8.3%Food insecurity
6.2%SNAP enrollment
5.1%Transit barriers
5.8%No health insurance
14.5%Frequent mental distress
15.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 17031040402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031040402?

Census tract 17031040402 in the Bowmanville neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17031040402?

Median gross rent is $1,691/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031040402?

7.7% of residents in tract 17031040402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,581.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031040402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 3th, minority 42th, housing 45th.

Is tract 17031040402 considered part of Bowmanville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031040402 fall within Bowmanville (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031040402?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 346 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031040402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.66% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 17031040402 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17031040402 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031040402 scores 5.5/10 — lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17031040402 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.