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Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Bowmanville Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 8,012 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10 · range 5.5–5.9

Bowmanville spans 2 census tracts of Chicago, IL, population 8,012. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.7/10, in the Moderate tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.7/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. At $1,748 a month, rents sit 21% over what the rest of Chicago commands.

31% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. 13% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Disability prevalence reaches 17.4% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. Filings are well documented here: 480 across 2 observed tracts.

On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. The worst year on record was 2001, when filings touched 4.0% of renter households.

SNAP participation is 6.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The most recent observed rate, 0.6% in 2015, is well off that peak. That places it #149 of 187 neighborhoods in Chicago.

Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

With little internal variation, 5.7/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Bowmanville vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
31.1% +6%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,748 +21%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$98,485 +31%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
6.8% -60%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
59.4% +10%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bowmanville and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.5–5.9

Why Bowmanville scores 5.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
31% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
59% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
6.8% below poverty line · Range 1.4–1.9 across tracts
1.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.6–5.4 across tracts
4.9
Risk score comparison

Bowmanville vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bowmanville score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.7BowmanvilleNeighborhood6.7Parent cityhost city5.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Bowmanville

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
17031040402 5.9 4,581 31% $1,691
17031040401 5.5 3,431 31% $1,823
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 19

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 29%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 10%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 49%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 33%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bowmanville

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 480Total filings (sum)
  • 1.36%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.0%Peak year (2001)
  • 0.61%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bowmanville

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bowmanville

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bowmanville?

Bowmanville scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bowmanville compare to Chicago overall?

Bowmanville scores 1.0 points lower than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 31% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,748 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bowmanville?

Average gross rent in Bowmanville is $1,748/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bowmanville residents are renters?

59% of Bowmanville households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 8,012 residents.
Q5

Is Bowmanville a high social-vulnerability area?

Bowmanville sits in the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Bowmanville have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bowmanville is census tract 17031040402 (score 5.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.5 to 5.9, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Bowmanville for landlords?

Bowmanville carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Bowmanville?

Bowmanville has 7,588 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66.3%), Hispanic / Latino (21%), Other / Multiracial (5.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bowmanville

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bowmanville.

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