Skip to content
Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Bowmanville Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 8,012 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10 · range 5.5–5.9

Bowmanville spans 2 census tracts of Chicago, IL, population 8,012. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.7/10, in the Moderate tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.7/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. At $1,748 a month, rents sit 21% over what the rest of Chicago commands.

31% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. 13% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Disability prevalence reaches 17.4% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. Filings are well documented here: 480 across 2 observed tracts.

On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. The worst year on record was 2001, when filings touched 4.0% of renter households.

SNAP participation is 6.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The most recent observed rate, 0.6% in 2015, is well off that peak. That places it #149 of 187 neighborhoods in Chicago.

Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

With little internal variation, 5.7/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Bowmanville vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
31.1% +6%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,748 +21%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$98,485 +31%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
6.8% -60%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
59.4% +10%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bowmanville and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.5–5.9

Why Bowmanville scores 5.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
31% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
59% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
6.8% below poverty line · Range 1.4–1.9 across tracts
1.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.6–5.4 across tracts
4.9
Risk score comparison

Bowmanville vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bowmanville score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Bowmanville: 5.75.7BowmanvilleNeighborhoodParent city: 6.76.7Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Bowmanville

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17031040402 5.9 4,581 31% $1,691
17031040401 5.5 3,431 31% $1,823
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 19

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 29%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 10%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 49%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 33%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bowmanville

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 480Total filings (sum)
  • 1.36%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.0%Peak year (2001)
  • 0.61%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bowmanville

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bowmanville

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bowmanville?

Bowmanville scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bowmanville compare to Chicago overall?

Bowmanville scores 1.0 points lower than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 31% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,748 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bowmanville?

Average gross rent in Bowmanville is $1,748/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bowmanville residents are renters?

59% of Bowmanville households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 8,012 residents.
Q5

Is Bowmanville a high social-vulnerability area?

Bowmanville sits in the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Bowmanville have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bowmanville is census tract 17031040402 (score 5.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.5 to 5.9, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Bowmanville for landlords?

Bowmanville carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Bowmanville?

Bowmanville has 7,588 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66.3%), Hispanic / Latino (21%), Other / Multiracial (5.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bowmanville

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bowmanville.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further