Cabrini-Green Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago

Average gross rent is $2,717, 89% above the Chicago average. The voucher gap is 54.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against Cook County at 45.6%, 32% of renters here are cost-burdened.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.6/10.

The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The filing record is not thin: 948 evictions over 15 years of observation. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.

Housing insecurity runs 6.9% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2004 at 14.3% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.