Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Glen Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago
Tract 17031110502 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,533 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 17031110502 covers Forest Glen in Chicago, home to 3,533 residents. For landlords it grades 5.7/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 65th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,465 monthly, set against $80,762 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,513
Renter share32.1%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$80,762
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
29
th percentile
Low
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
67
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9703, -87.7599 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Glen scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,465 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Forest Glen compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 94%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 162Total filings over 15 yrs
- 1.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.6%Peak (2009)
- 7Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 36% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Forest Glen. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.9%Housing insecurity
- 6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.8%Food insecurity
- 10.2%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 10.0%No health insurance
- 14.2%Frequent mental distress
- 22.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Glen
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicago eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cook County average of 5.7 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031110502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031110502?
Census tract 17031110502 in the Forest Glen neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031110502?
Median gross rent is $1,465/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031110502?
6.8% of residents in tract 17031110502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,533.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031110502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 55th, minority 58th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 17031110502 considered part of Forest Glen?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031110502 fall within Forest Glen (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031110502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 162 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031110502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.73% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031110502 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031110502 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031110502 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031110502 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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7.4
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7.4
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7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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Homan Square
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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