Montrose Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 726 filings here across 15 tracked years.

At $1,242 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Chicago commands. The worst year on record was 2012, when 4.2% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $94,021, annual rent is just 16%.

Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.