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Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Montrose Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago

Tract 17031150200 · Cook County, IL · pop 7,263 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

In Montrose in Chicago, census tract 17031150200 scores 5.5/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

32% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,242 a month against an average household income of $94,021 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 43% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 29% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units2,829
Renter share42.7%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate13.2%
Median income$94,021

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Montrose
Very High
Within parent city
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#513 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Low
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#590 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#939 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.9607, -87.7524 · click any tract to drill in

Why Montrose scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
13.2% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,242 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Montrose compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Montrose risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 150200Chicago: 5.75.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 726Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 2.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.2%Peak (2012)
  • 46Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170311502002001: 50 filings (2.88/100 renter HHs)2002: 53 filings (3.05/100 renter HHs)2003: 38 filings (2.19/100 renter HHs)2004: 40 filings (2.30/100 renter HHs)2005: 34 filings (1.84/100 renter HHs)2006: 33 filings (1.78/100 renter HHs)2007: 43 filings (2.32/100 renter HHs)2008: 55 filings (2.97/100 renter HHs)2009: 48 filings (2.59/100 renter HHs)2010: 65 filings (3.98/100 renter HHs)2011: 65 filings (3.95/100 renter HHs)2012: 69 filings (4.19/100 renter HHs)2013: 59 filings (3.58/100 renter HHs)2014: 28 filings (1.70/100 renter HHs)2015: 46 filings (2.79/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Montrose. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Montrose

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicago eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cook County average of 5.7 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031150200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031150200?

Census tract 17031150200 in the Montrose neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031150200?

Median gross rent is $1,242/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031150200?

13.2% of residents in tract 17031150200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,263.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031150200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 40th, minority 63th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 17031150200 considered part of Montrose?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031150200 fall within Montrose (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031150200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 726 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031150200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.81% of renter households, peaking at 4.2% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031150200 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031150200 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031150200 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031150200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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