Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Montrose Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago
Tract 17031150300 · Cook County, IL · pop 7,272 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
17031150300 is a census tract in the Montrose area of Chicago, IL. It scores 5.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 7,272 residents. 29% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Cook County average of 45.6%.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units3,206
Renter share41.4%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$88,125
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9605, -87.7623 · click any tract to drill in
Why Montrose scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,330 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Montrose compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 38%Grade B
- 51%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 393Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.5%Peak (2012)
- 13Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 58% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Montrose. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.1%Food insecurity
- 9.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 10.0%No health insurance
- 14.2%Frequent mental distress
- 23.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Montrose
The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.7/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Court records carry 393 eviction filings across 15 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 3.5% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.1% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 77th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.2/10.
Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Cook County average of 6.1 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031150300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031150300?
Census tract 17031150300 in the Montrose neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031150300?
Median gross rent is $1,330/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031150300?
6.6% of residents in tract 17031150300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,272.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031150300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 14th, minority 52th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 17031150300 considered part of Montrose?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031150300 fall within Montrose (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031150300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 393 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031150300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.06% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031150300 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031150300 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031150300 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031150300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
O'Keeffe
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Forest Hill
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Schorsch
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Central Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Chatham Fields
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marquette Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
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