Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Ellsworth Eviction Risk: High , Elmwood Park
Tract 17031170900 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,970 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 17031170900 sits in the Ellsworth area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.1/10. It is home to 1,970 residents. 49% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units638
Renter share33.7%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate28.0%
Median income$61,771
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elmwood Park and the region
Centroid at 41.9362, -87.8116 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ellsworth scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elmwood Park
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
28.0% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$1,643 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elmwood Park
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elmwood Park
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elmwood Park
6.5
How Ellsworth compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 69Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.43%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.8%Peak (2012)
- 4Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ellsworth. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.8%Housing insecurity
- 11.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.9%Food insecurity
- 22.9%SNAP enrollment
- 11.1%Transit barriers
- 15.3%No health insurance
- 16.9%Frequent mental distress
- 32.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ellsworth
80% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Cook County average of 45.6%. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.
The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.5/10.
Court records carry 69 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,643, 14% above the Chicago average.
SNAP participation runs 22.9% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 24.9% against 17.8% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 4.8% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 2.4% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031170900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031170900?
Census tract 17031170900 in the Ellsworth neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031170900?
Median gross rent is $1,643/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031170900?
28.0% of residents in tract 17031170900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,970.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031170900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 26th, minority 68th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 17031170900 considered part of Ellsworth?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031170900 fall within Ellsworth (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031170900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 69 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031170900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.43% of renter households, peaking at 4.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031170900 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031170900 compare to Elmwood Park overall?
Tract 17031170900 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Elmwood Park at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elmwood Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031170900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elmwood Park
Top eight tracts in Elmwood Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Windsor Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marquette Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Brainerd
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Park Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Illinois Medical District
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Edgewater Glen
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Fifth City
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
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