Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Cragin Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031190702 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,707 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 17031190702 sits in the Cragin area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.1/10. Population here is 4,707. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,501
Renter share53.1%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate24.0%
Median income$65,551
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
82
th percentile
High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9262, -87.7610 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cragin scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
24.0% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,172 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Cragin compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 363Total filings over 15 yrs
- 3.11%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.1%Peak (2015)
- 37Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 95% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cragin. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 31.6%Housing insecurity
- 16.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 40.8%Food insecurity
- 32.9%SNAP enrollment
- 17.6%Transit barriers
- 32.8%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 36.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cragin
The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.
Housing insecurity runs 31.6% against 14.2% nationally. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.7/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Average gross rent is $1,172, 19% below the Chicago average.
Against Cook County at 45.6%, 51% of renters here are cost-burdened. The filing record is not thin: 363 evictions over 15 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2015 at 4.1% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031190702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031190702?
Census tract 17031190702 in the Cragin neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031190702?
Median gross rent is $1,172/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031190702?
24.0% of residents in tract 17031190702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,707.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031190702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 93th, minority 90th, housing 49th.
Q5
Is tract 17031190702 considered part of Cragin?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031190702 fall within Cragin (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031190702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 363 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031190702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.11% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031190702 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031190702 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031190702 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031190702 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Essex
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
New Auburn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Roosevelt Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Central Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Forest Hill
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
North Kenwood
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Related