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Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Cragin Eviction Risk: Elevated

8 census tracts · pop 33,363 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.5/10 · range 5.8–7

Cragin is a hispanic-black neighborhood in Chicago with 8 census tracts and a population of 33,363 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 54% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 34% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,166/month sits 19% lower than the Chicago citywide average ($1,440).

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
8 tracts · population-weighted
Cragin vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.9% +84%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,166 -19%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$57,551 -23%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
26.0% +54%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
58.3% +8%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cragin and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 8 tracts span score 5.8–7

Why Cragin scores 6.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
58% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
26.0% below poverty line · Range 4.7–8.4 across tracts
6.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.0 across tracts
1.7
Risk score comparison

Cragin vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Cragin score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Cragin: 6.56.5CraginNeighborhoodParent city: 5.75.7Parent cityhost cityState: 4.74.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Cragin?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 5.8 to 7. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

8 tracts in Cragin

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17031191100 7 6,651 57% $1,213
17031250700 6.9 6,466 58% $1,097
17031250200 6.8 3,051 71% $979
17031831300 6.6 1,176 58% $1,119
17031190702 6.2 4,707 51% $1,172
17031191200 6 3,775 29% $1,401
17031250300 5.9 4,844 55% $1,144
17031250800 5.8 2,693 53% $1,145
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 86

Pop-weighted across 8 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 92%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 82%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 95%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 43%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Cragin

Aggregated across 8 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4,081Total filings (sum)
  • 4.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.4%Peak year (2015)
  • 4.76%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Cragin

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Cragin

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Cragin?

Cragin scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) across 8 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Cragin compare to Chicago overall?

Cragin scores 0.8 points higher than Chicago overall (5.7/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,166 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Cragin?

Average gross rent in Cragin is $1,166/month (pop-weighted across 8 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Cragin residents are renters?

58% of Cragin households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 33,363 residents.
Q5

Is Cragin a high social-vulnerability area?

Cragin sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Cragin have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Cragin is census tract 17031191100 (score 7/10). Across the 8 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.8 to 7, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Cragin for landlords?

Cragin carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.5/10). Pop-weighted across 8 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (5.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Cragin?

Cragin has 32,448 residents (Hispanic-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (59.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (33.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (5.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cragin

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Cragin.

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