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Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Cragin Eviction Risk: High

8 census tracts · pop 33,363 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8/10 · range 7.7–8.1

Cragin spans 8 census tracts of Chicago, IL, population 33,363. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 8/10, in the High tier. 54% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Chicago rate of 29.3%.

Severe burden reaches 34%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Food insecurity affects 43.5% of adults, 25.7 points above the national rate.

SNAP participation is 40.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1.7/10. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. At $1,166 a month, rents sit 19% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Court records carry 4,081 eviction filings across its 8 observed tracts.

Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 9.4% of renter households. That places it #38 of 187 neighborhoods in Chicago.

Judgments average 1.4% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
8
High
8 tracts · population-weighted
Cragin vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.9% +84%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,166 -19%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$57,551 -23%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
26.0% +54%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
58.3% +8%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cragin and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 8 tracts span score 7.7–8.1

Why Cragin scores 8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
58% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
26.0% below poverty line · Range 4.7–8.4 across tracts
6.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.0 across tracts
1.7
Risk score comparison

Cragin vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Cragin score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Cragin: 8.08.0CraginNeighborhoodParent city: 6.76.7Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Cragin?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.4 points from 7.7 to 8.1. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

8 tracts in Cragin

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17031191100 8.1 6,651 57% $1,213
17031250700 8.1 6,466 58% $1,097
17031190702 8.1 4,707 51% $1,172
17031250200 8.1 3,051 71% $979
17031831300 8.1 1,176 58% $1,119
17031250300 8 4,844 55% $1,144
17031191200 8 3,775 29% $1,401
17031250800 7.7 2,693 53% $1,145
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 86

Pop-weighted across 8 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 92%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 82%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 95%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 43%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Cragin

Aggregated across 8 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4,081Total filings (sum)
  • 4.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.4%Peak year (2015)
  • 4.76%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Cragin

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Cragin

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Cragin?

Cragin scores 8/10 (High tier) across 8 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Cragin compare to Chicago overall?

Cragin scores 1.3 points higher than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,166 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Cragin?

Average gross rent in Cragin is $1,166/month (pop-weighted across 8 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Cragin residents are renters?

58% of Cragin households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 33,363 residents.
Q5

Is Cragin a high social-vulnerability area?

Cragin sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Cragin have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Cragin is census tract 17031191100 (score 8.1/10). Across the 8 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.7 to 8.1, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Cragin for landlords?

Cragin carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8/10). Pop-weighted across 8 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Cragin?

Cragin has 32,448 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (59.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (33.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (5.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cragin

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Cragin.

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