Tract 17031381500 ·
Cook County, IL · pop 670 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 17031381500 sits in the Canaryville area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.1/10. Population here is 670. The severe-burden share is 56%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 64%Stable renters 19%Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units421
Renter share82.2%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate41.9%
Median income$25,019
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
47th percentile
#10 of 18 tracts In Canaryville
Moderate
Within parent city
75th percentile
#203 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Elevated
Within county
93th percentile
#93 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
100th percentile
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8102, -87.6229 · click any tract to drill in
Why Canaryville scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
41.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$930 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Canaryville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
94%Socioeconomic
84%Household composition
98%Racial/ethnic minority
35%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
93Total filings over 14 yrs
7.04%Avg annual filing rate
2.9%Peak (2001)
5Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year2001 to 2015
Filings dropped 67% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Canaryville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
38.7%Housing insecurity
30.7%Utility-shutoff threat
51.9%Food insecurity
60.2%SNAP enrollment
25.2%Transit barriers
13.9%No health insurance
21.2%Frequent mental distress
42.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Canaryville
roughly three in four of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Cook County average of 45.6%. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.
Housing insecurity runs 38.7% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 42%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Annualized rent equals 45% of average household income of $25,019, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 30.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. At $930 a month, rents run 35% under what the rest of Chicago commands. 82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 93 evictions over 14 years of observation.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031381500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031381500?
Census tract 17031381500 in the Canaryville neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031381500?
Median gross rent is $930/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031381500?
41.9% of residents in tract 17031381500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 670.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031381500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 84th, minority 98th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 17031381500 considered part of Canaryville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031381500 fall within Canaryville (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031381500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 93 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 17031381500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.04% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031381500 struggle to pay rent?
About 38.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 30.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031381500 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031381500 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031381500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.