Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally
West Bucktown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031221500 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,767 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 17031221500 covers part of the West Bucktown area of Chicago, IL, and scores 7.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.3/10.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 43%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units1,442
Renter share69.8%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate14.1%
Median income$72,292
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9216, -87.6900 · click any tract to drill in
Why West Bucktown scores 7.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
14.1% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,106 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How West Bucktown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 160Total filings over 15 yrs
- 1.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.2%Peak (2012)
- 9Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within West Bucktown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.9%Food insecurity
- 12.3%SNAP enrollment
- 7.9%Transit barriers
- 11.7%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 23.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in West Bucktown
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. At $1,106 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Chicago commands.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Cost burden runs 38% here against 45.6% across Cook County.
Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Court records carry 160 eviction filings across 15 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 2.2% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.0% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031221500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031221500?
Census tract 17031221500 in the West Bucktown neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031221500?
Median gross rent is $1,106/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031221500?
14.1% of residents in tract 17031221500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,767.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031221500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 37th, minority 66th, housing 53th.
Q5
Is tract 17031221500 considered part of West Bucktown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031221500 fall within West Bucktown (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031221500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 160 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031221500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.00% of renter households, peaking at 2.2% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031221500 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031221500 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031221500 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031221500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Moreland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Windsor Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Chester Highlands
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Pierces Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Pacific Junction
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Fifth City
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Oakwood Shores
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Cheltenham
8.1
/ 10 · High
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