Fifth City Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 71.5% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 63.3% against 17.8% nationally.

The poverty rate is 47%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $24,375 and the ratio lands at 46%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. At $941 a month, rents run 35% under what the rest of Chicago commands.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 433 evictions over 15 years of observation.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.