Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Moreland Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031251500 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,324 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 17031251500 covers part of the Moreland area of Chicago, IL, and scores 8.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,324. The severe-burden share is 57%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 17% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,453
Renter share57.6%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate24.8%
Median income$47,491

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#3 of 8 tracts In Moreland
Elevated
Within parent city
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#121 of 792 tracts In Chicago
High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#42 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8911, -87.7604 · click any tract to drill in

Why Moreland scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
24.8% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$1,164 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Moreland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Moreland risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 251500Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,808Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 13.01%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.7%Peak (2011)
  • 74Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170312515002001: 113 filings (10.74/100 renter HHs)2002: 137 filings (13.02/100 renter HHs)2003: 124 filings (11.79/100 renter HHs)2004: 127 filings (12.07/100 renter HHs)2005: 79 filings (8.80/100 renter HHs)2006: 107 filings (11.92/100 renter HHs)2007: 110 filings (12.25/100 renter HHs)2008: 111 filings (12.36/100 renter HHs)2009: 149 filings (16.59/100 renter HHs)2010: 105 filings (11.02/100 renter HHs)2011: 162 filings (18.71/100 renter HHs)2012: 161 filings (18.59/100 renter HHs)2013: 121 filings (13.97/100 renter HHs)2014: 128 filings (14.78/100 renter HHs)2015: 74 filings (8.55/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 35% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Moreland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Moreland

Against Cook County at 45.6%, roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened. SNAP participation runs 41.1% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 32.6% against 14.2% nationally.

What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.6/10.

The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.

At $1,164 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Chicago commands. The filing record is not thin: 1,808 evictions over 15 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2011 at 18.7% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 13.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031251500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031251500?

Census tract 17031251500 in the Moreland neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031251500?

Median gross rent is $1,164/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031251500?

24.8% of residents in tract 17031251500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,324.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031251500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 94th, minority 98th, housing 86th.
Q5

Is tract 17031251500 considered part of Moreland?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031251500 fall within Moreland (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031251500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,808 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031251500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.01% of renter households, peaking at 18.7% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031251500 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031251500 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031251500 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031251500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related