Within neighborhood
43
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Moreland Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031251700 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,291 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 8.1/10, tract 17031251700 in the Moreland area of Chicago, IL reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,291. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units424
Renter share51.7%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate27.5%
Median income$57,037
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8914, -87.7445 · click any tract to drill in
Why Moreland scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
27.5% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$1,273 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Moreland compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 90%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 300Total filings over 15 yrs
- 8.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.2%Peak (2003)
- 16Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Moreland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 31.0%Housing insecurity
- 19.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 38.5%Food insecurity
- 36.8%SNAP enrollment
- 17.7%Transit barriers
- 18.5%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 34.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Moreland
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Court records carry 300 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.5% against 11.3% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,273, 12% below the Chicago average.
The worst year on record was 2003, when 11.2% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031251700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031251700?
Census tract 17031251700 in the Moreland neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031251700?
Median gross rent is $1,273/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031251700?
27.5% of residents in tract 17031251700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,291.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031251700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 88th, minority 97th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 17031251700 considered part of Moreland?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031251700 fall within Moreland (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031251700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 300 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031251700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.14% of renter households, peaking at 11.2% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031251700 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031251700 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031251700 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031251700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Arcadia Terrace
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Pacific Junction
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Fifth City
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
North Kenwood
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Cheltenham
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
North Kenwood
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
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