Canaryville Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

At $1,139 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Chicago commands. The filing record is not thin: 550 evictions over 15 years of observation. Housing insecurity runs 22.4% against 14.2% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 23.0% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2001, when 24.3% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 8.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.