Canaryville Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Average gross rent is $867, 40% below the Chicago average. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. Food insecurity runs 34.9% against 17.8% nationally.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. It sits 1.5 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Housing insecurity runs 26.4% against 14.2% nationally.

The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Court records carry 375 eviction filings across 15 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2001 at 8.1% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 8.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 88th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $57,885, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.