Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Bryn Mawr East Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031430600 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,218 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
17031430600 is a census tract in the Bryn Mawr East area of Chicago, IL. It scores 8.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,218. Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units807
Renter share71.9%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate23.9%
Median income$42,487
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
92
th percentile
Very High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7644, -87.5714 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bryn Mawr East scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
23.9% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,068 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Bryn Mawr East compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 99%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 556Total filings over 15 yrs
- 8.28%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.7%Peak (2001)
- 29Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bryn Mawr East. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.9%Housing insecurity
- 19.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.0%Food insecurity
- 36.0%SNAP enrollment
- 16.2%Transit barriers
- 9.7%No health insurance
- 18.1%Frequent mental distress
- 34.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bryn Mawr East
SNAP participation runs 36.0% against 15.2% nationally. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.1/10.
It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
This is renter territory: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Average gross rent is $1,068, 26% below the Chicago average. Housing insecurity runs 27.9% against 14.2% nationally.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
52% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Cook County average of 45.6%. Court records carry 556 eviction filings across 15 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2001 at 9.7% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031430600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031430600?
Census tract 17031430600 in the Bryn Mawr East neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031430600?
Median gross rent is $1,068/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031430600?
23.9% of residents in tract 17031430600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,218.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031430600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 73th, minority 99th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 17031430600 considered part of Bryn Mawr East?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031430600 fall within Bryn Mawr East (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031430600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 556 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031430600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.28% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031430600 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031430600 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031430600 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031430600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Moreland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Jackson Park Highlands District
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
New Auburn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Pocket Town
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Oakwood Shores
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Garden Homes
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marquette Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
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