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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,456 of 84,120 nationally

Bryn Mawr East Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031430600 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,218 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

How risky is the Bryn Mawr East area of Chicago for landlords? Census tract 17031430600 scores 6.3/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 83rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

52% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,068 monthly, set against $42,487 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 72% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 34% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units807
Renter share71.9%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate23.9%
Median income$42,487

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Bryn Mawr East
Elevated
Within parent city
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#188 of 792 tracts In Chicago
High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#200 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#219 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.7644, -87.5714 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bryn Mawr East scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
23.9% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,068 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Bryn Mawr East compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bryn Mawr East risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.56.5This tracttract 430600Chicago: 5.75.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 556Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 8.28%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.7%Peak (2001)
  • 29Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170314306002001: 50 filings (9.73/100 renter HHs)2002: 49 filings (9.53/100 renter HHs)2003: 37 filings (7.20/100 renter HHs)2004: 50 filings (9.73/100 renter HHs)2005: 31 filings (7.97/100 renter HHs)2006: 36 filings (9.25/100 renter HHs)2007: 28 filings (7.20/100 renter HHs)2008: 43 filings (11.05/100 renter HHs)2009: 35 filings (9.00/100 renter HHs)2010: 29 filings (6.07/100 renter HHs)2011: 36 filings (8.04/100 renter HHs)2012: 35 filings (7.81/100 renter HHs)2013: 37 filings (8.26/100 renter HHs)2014: 31 filings (6.92/100 renter HHs)2015: 29 filings (6.47/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bryn Mawr East. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bryn Mawr East

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicago eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cook County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 27.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031430600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031430600?

Census tract 17031430600 in the Bryn Mawr East neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031430600?

Median gross rent is $1,068/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031430600?

23.9% of residents in tract 17031430600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,218.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031430600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 73th, minority 99th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 17031430600 considered part of Bryn Mawr East?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031430600 fall within Bryn Mawr East (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031430600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 556 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031430600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.28% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031430600 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031430600 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031430600 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031430600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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