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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Avalon Highlands Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031440101 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,986 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

Tract 17031440101 sits in the Avalon Highlands area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.1/10. Population here is 3,986. Severe burden reaches 41%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 60% Stable renters 37% Owners 3%
Tract context
Occupied units2,463
Renter share97.3%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate36.0%
Median income$28,326

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Avalon Highlands
Moderate
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#204 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Elevated
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#122 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.7486, -87.6015 · click any tract to drill in

Why Avalon Highlands scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
36.0% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$1,023 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Avalon Highlands compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Avalon Highlands risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 440101Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,976Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 13.24%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.3%Peak (2002)
  • 251Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170314401012001: 240 filings (15.77/100 renter HHs)2002: 278 filings (18.27/100 renter HHs)2003: 238 filings (15.64/100 renter HHs)2004: 201 filings (13.21/100 renter HHs)2005: 187 filings (12.28/100 renter HHs)2006: 191 filings (12.55/100 renter HHs)2007: 134 filings (8.80/100 renter HHs)2008: 152 filings (9.98/100 renter HHs)2009: 133 filings (8.74/100 renter HHs)2010: 153 filings (10.35/100 renter HHs)2011: 145 filings (9.90/100 renter HHs)2012: 231 filings (15.77/100 renter HHs)2013: 219 filings (14.95/100 renter HHs)2014: 223 filings (15.22/100 renter HHs)2015: 251 filings (17.13/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Avalon Highlands

Housing insecurity runs 42.1% against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 54.2% against 17.8% nationally.

62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Cook County average of 45.6%. This is renter territory: 97% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Set annual rent against average income of $28,326 and the ratio lands at 43%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The dominant input is economic stress at 9/10.

The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.

At $1,023 a month, rents run 29% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 2,976 evictions over 15 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2002 at 18.3% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031440101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031440101?

Census tract 17031440101 in the Avalon Highlands neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031440101?

Median gross rent is $1,023/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031440101?

36.0% of residents in tract 17031440101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,986.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031440101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 10th, minority 99th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 17031440101 considered part of Avalon Highlands?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031440101 fall within Avalon Highlands (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031440101?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,976 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031440101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.24% of renter households, peaking at 18.3% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031440101 struggle to pay rent?

About 42.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 31.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031440101 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031440101 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031440101 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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