Avalon Highlands Eviction Risk: High

Against a Chicago baseline of 29.3%, 62% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 42.1% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 54.2% of adults, 36.4 points above the national rate.

This is a renter market: 97% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Annualized rent equals 43% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 9/10.

The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1/10.

At $1,023 a month, rents sit 29% under what the rest of Chicago commands. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. Court records for this tract carry 2,976 eviction filings.

Filing activity peaked in 2002 at 18.3% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 17.1% in 2015 against a 18.3% peak.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 8.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.