Eviction Risk in Lilydale , Chicago
Tract 17031490200 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,944 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 17031490200 sits in the Lilydale neighborhood of Chicago, Illinois. It has a population of 2,944 and an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). 46% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 29% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,210/month against a median household income of $65,268 — roughly 22% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 3,106 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 0.5%
- White (non-Hispanic) 3.4%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 90.8%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 0.9%
- Other / Multiracial 4.4%
How the 5.9/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 4.0 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 5.2 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 7.5 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 8.5 | Chicago (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 5.5 | Chicago (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 7.5 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 8.0 | Chicago (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 6.5 | Chicago (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 3.4 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 1.9 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 23%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lilydale. Closest by composite score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.5%Housing insecurity
- 13.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.1%Food insecurity
- 23.9%SNAP enrollment
- 11.9%Transit barriers
- 7.9%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 30.8%Any disability
Dominant grade: D — hazardous — formally redlined; mortgage applications routinely denied
Approximately 99% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Chicago. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
- 0.0%A (Best)
- 0.0%B (Desirable)
- 23.8%C (Declining)
- 75.4%D (Redlined)
Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.
About tract 17031490200
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031490200?
Census tract 17031490200 in the Lilydale neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 17031490200?
Median gross rent is $1,210/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031490200?
13.7% of residents in tract 17031490200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,944.
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031490200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 76th, minority 97th, housing 23th.
Is tract 17031490200 considered part of Lilydale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031490200 fall within Lilydale (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
What share of households in tract 17031490200 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.6% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Was tract 17031490200 redlined?
The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is D (Hazardous / redlined). Roughly 75% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Chicago. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.