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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Lilydale Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031490600 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,446 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 17031490600 sits in the Lilydale area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.7/10. Population here is 1,446. Severe burden reaches 43%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 15% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units521
Renter share27.8%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate19.4%
Median income$66,927

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Lilydale
Very High
Within parent city
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#332 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Elevated
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#358 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#375 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.7180, -87.6283 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lilydale scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
19.4% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$2,244 rent vs county FMR
7.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Lilydale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lilydale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.77.7This tracttract 490600Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 106Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 9.51%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.0%Peak (2014)
  • 8Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170314906002001: 10 filings (12.82/100 renter HHs)2002: 11 filings (14.10/100 renter HHs)2003: 6 filings (7.69/100 renter HHs)2004: 5 filings (6.41/100 renter HHs)2005: 2 filings (2.86/100 renter HHs)2006: 7 filings (10.00/100 renter HHs)2007: 8 filings (11.43/100 renter HHs)2008: 2 filings (2.86/100 renter HHs)2009: 7 filings (10.00/100 renter HHs)2010: 4 filings (3.42/100 renter HHs)2011: 5 filings (6.94/100 renter HHs)2012: 5 filings (6.94/100 renter HHs)2013: 8 filings (11.11/100 renter HHs)2014: 18 filings (25.00/100 renter HHs)2015: 8 filings (11.11/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lilydale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lilydale

At $2,244 a month, rents run 56% over what the rest of Chicago commands. Set annual rent against average income of $66,927 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. The voucher gap is 27.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

It sits 1.6 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.

SNAP participation runs 28.3% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.7/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 106 filings here across 15 tracked years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The worst year on record was 2014, when 25.0% of renter households were served.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031490600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031490600?

Census tract 17031490600 in the Lilydale neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031490600?

Median gross rent is $2,244/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031490600?

19.4% of residents in tract 17031490600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,446.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031490600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 58th, minority 90th, housing 34th.
Q5

Is tract 17031490600 considered part of Lilydale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031490600 fall within Lilydale (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031490600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 106 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031490600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.51% of renter households, peaking at 25.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031490600 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031490600 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031490600 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031490600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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