Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Philip Murray Homes Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031540102 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,357 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
17031540102 is a census tract in the Philip Murray Homes area of Chicago, IL. It scores 8.1/10 for landlords. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 51%
Owners 14%
Tract context
Occupied units1,285
Renter share85.4%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate53.2%
Median income$24,583
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
84
th percentile
High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.6673, -87.6054 · click any tract to drill in
Why Philip Murray Homes scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
53.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$582 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Philip Murray Homes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,253Total filings over 15 yrs
- 9.07%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.1%Peak (2002)
- 42Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 60% over the past 15 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 45.2%Housing insecurity
- 35.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 58.7%Food insecurity
- 66.6%SNAP enrollment
- 29.8%Transit barriers
- 16.2%No health insurance
- 24.7%Frequent mental distress
- 44.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Philip Murray Homes
At $582 a month, rents run 60% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Food insecurity runs 58.7% against 17.8% nationally.
The poverty rate is 53%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 85% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
Disability prevalence runs 44.2% against 31.5% nationally. Against Cook County at 45.6%, 41% of renters here are cost-burdened. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,253 filings here across 15 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2002, when 11.1% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 9.1% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031540102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031540102?
Census tract 17031540102 in the Philip Murray Homes neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031540102?
Median gross rent is $582/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031540102?
53.2% of residents in tract 17031540102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,357.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031540102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 32th, minority 99th, housing 59th.
Q5
Is tract 17031540102 considered part of Philip Murray Homes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031540102 fall within Philip Murray Homes (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031540102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,253 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031540102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.07% of renter households, peaking at 11.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031540102 struggle to pay rent?
About 45.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 35.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031540102 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031540102 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031540102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Clarendon Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Polish Village
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marshall Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
East Hyde Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
The Cottage
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Park Manor Historic District
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Essex
8.1
/ 10 · High
Related