Neighborhood · Ranked #56,146 of 84,120 nationally

Avalon Trails Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago

Tract 17031550200 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,824 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 17031550200 sits in the Avalon Trails neighborhood of Chicago, Illinois. It has a population of 2,824 and an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). 16% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 16% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,111/month against a median household income of $72,232 — roughly 18% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 9% Owners 89%

Tract context

Occupied units972

Renter share10.6%

SVI overall0.49

Poverty rate7.6%

Median income$72,232

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.6551, -87.5648 · click any tract to drill in

Why Avalon Trails scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chicago

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.5

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

7.6% poverty · this tract

1.9

Supply constraint

$1,111 rent vs county FMR

1.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chicago

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chicago

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chicago

6.5

How Avalon Trails compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

54%Socioeconomic
66%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
20%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D — Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
10%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

24Total filings over 14 yrs
2.11%Avg annual filing rate
5.2%Peak (2013)
2Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2001 — 2015

Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.3%Housing insecurity
8.6%Utility-shutoff threat
20.0%Food insecurity
14.6%SNAP enrollment
9.2%Transit barriers
17.2%No health insurance
14.8%Frequent mental distress
28.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 17031550200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031550200?

Census tract 17031550200 in the Avalon Trails neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17031550200?

Median gross rent is $1,111/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031550200?

7.6% of residents in tract 17031550200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,824.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031550200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 66th, minority 76th, housing 20th.

Is tract 17031550200 considered part of Avalon Trails?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031550200 fall within Avalon Trails (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031550200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 24 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 17031550200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.11% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 17031550200 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17031550200 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031550200 scores 4.8/10 — lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17031550200 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 10% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.