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Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Avalon Trails Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 2,824 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.5/10 · range 6.5–6.5

Avalon Trails maps to a single census tract in Chicago, IL and houses 2,824 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.5/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 16% against 29.3% citywide, putting Avalon Trails 13.8% under its own city.

The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1.3/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 1.9/10.

Average gross rent is $1,111, 23% below the Chicago average of $1,440. Severe burden reaches 16%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10.

The filing record is not thin: 24 evictions logged in this tract. The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 5.2% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 2.6% in 2015, is well off that peak. That places it #110 of 187 neighborhoods in Chicago. Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

For a like-for-like read, Sheridan Park and Ravenswood Manor score within a fraction of it. Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

One tract means one number: 6.5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Avalon Trails vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
15.5% -47%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,111 -23%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$72,232 -4%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
7.6% -55%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
10.6% -80%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Avalon Trails and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.5–6.5

Why Avalon Trails scores 6.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
16% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
11% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
7.6% below poverty line · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts
1.3
Risk score comparison

Avalon Trails vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Avalon Trails score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Avalon Trails: 6.56.5Avalon TrailsNeighborhoodParent city: 6.76.7Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Avalon Trails

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17031550200 6.5 2,824 16% $1,111
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 49

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 54%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 66%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 20%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Avalon Trails

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 24Total filings (sum)
  • 2.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.2%Peak year (2013)
  • 2.60%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Avalon Trails

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Avalon Trails

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Avalon Trails?

Avalon Trails scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Avalon Trails compare to Chicago overall?

Avalon Trails scores 0.2 points lower than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 16% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,111 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Avalon Trails?

Average gross rent in Avalon Trails is $1,111/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Avalon Trails residents are renters?

11% of Avalon Trails households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 2,824 residents.
Q5

Is Avalon Trails a high social-vulnerability area?

Avalon Trails sits in the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Avalon Trails for landlords?

Avalon Trails carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Avalon Trails?

Avalon Trails has 2,720 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (63.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (35.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (1.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Avalon Trails

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Avalon Trails.

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