Eviction Risk in Ducktown , Chicago
Tract 17031590600 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,813 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 17031590600 sits in the Ducktown neighborhood of Chicago, Illinois. It has a population of 3,813 and an eviction-risk score of 6.0/10 (Elevated tier). 53% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 25% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,086/month against a median household income of $78,137 — roughly 17% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
Hispanic / Latino Neighborhood — 3,739 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 69.4%
- White (non-Hispanic) 14.4%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 2.8%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 12.7%
- Other / Multiracial 0.7%
How the 6.0/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 4.0 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 5.2 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 7.5 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 8.5 | Chicago (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 5.5 | Chicago (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 7.5 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 8.0 | Chicago (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 6.5 | Chicago (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 3.1 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 1.2 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 266Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.4%Peak (2002)
- 26Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ducktown. Closest by composite score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.5%Housing insecurity
- 9.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.9%Food insecurity
- 18.2%SNAP enrollment
- 10.9%Transit barriers
- 21.3%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 28.0%Any disability
Dominant grade: D — hazardous — formally redlined; mortgage applications routinely denied
Approximately 100% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Chicago. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
- 0.0%A (Best)
- 0.0%B (Desirable)
- 0.0%C (Declining)
- 99.8%D (Redlined)
Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.
About tract 17031590600
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031590600?
Census tract 17031590600 in the Ducktown neighborhood scores 6.0/10 (Elevated tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 17031590600?
Median gross rent is $1,086/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031590600?
12.6% of residents in tract 17031590600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,813.
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031590600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 73th, minority 85th, housing 21th.
Is tract 17031590600 considered part of Ducktown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031590600 fall within Ducktown (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031590600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 266 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031590600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.99% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
What share of households in tract 17031590600 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Was tract 17031590600 redlined?
The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is D (Hazardous / redlined). Roughly 100% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Chicago. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.