Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally
Ducktown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031590600 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,813 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
17031590600 is a census tract in the Ducktown area of Chicago, IL. It scores 6.8/10 for landlords. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.2/10.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,451
Renter share40.6%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate12.6%
Median income$78,137
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8268, -87.6729 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ducktown scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
12.6% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,086 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Ducktown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 266Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.4%Peak (2002)
- 26Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ducktown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.5%Housing insecurity
- 9.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.9%Food insecurity
- 18.2%SNAP enrollment
- 10.9%Transit barriers
- 21.3%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 28.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ducktown
The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. At $1,086 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Chicago commands.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. 53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Cook County average of 45.6%. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.3% against 11.3% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 266 evictions over 15 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 25.9% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 0.7 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.
Filings peaked in 2002 at 4.4% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031590600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031590600?
Census tract 17031590600 in the Ducktown neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031590600?
Median gross rent is $1,086/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031590600?
12.6% of residents in tract 17031590600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,813.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031590600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 73th, minority 85th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 17031590600 considered part of Ducktown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031590600 fall within Ducktown (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031590600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 266 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031590600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.99% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031590600 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031590600 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031590600 scores 6.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031590600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Central Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Fifth City
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
North Kenwood
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Cheltenham
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Oakwood Shores
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Mayfair
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
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