Within neighborhood
78
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally
Elsdon Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031620400 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,540 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 7.8/10, tract 17031620400 in the Elsdon area of Chicago, IL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,540. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,314
Renter share36.5%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate18.0%
Median income$62,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7896, -87.7182 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elsdon scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
18.0% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,325 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Elsdon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 94%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 148Total filings over 15 yrs
- 3.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.3%Peak (2014)
- 10Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elsdon. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.8%Housing insecurity
- 12.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 33.4%Food insecurity
- 24.1%SNAP enrollment
- 14.1%Transit barriers
- 29.1%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 32.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elsdon
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 29.1% against 11.3% nationally.
It sits 1.7 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Against Cook County at 45.6%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened.
On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. SNAP participation runs 24.1% against 15.2% nationally.
Court records carry 148 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Filings peaked in 2014 at 4.3% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 3.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.8/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031620400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031620400?
Census tract 17031620400 in the Elsdon neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031620400?
Median gross rent is $1,325/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031620400?
18.0% of residents in tract 17031620400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,540.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031620400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 95th, minority 92th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 17031620400 considered part of Elsdon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031620400 fall within Elsdon (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031620400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 148 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031620400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.89% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031620400 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031620400 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031620400 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031620400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Moreland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Brookdale
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
New Auburn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Roosevelt Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Central Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Motor Row
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Garden Homes
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Forest Hill
8.1
/ 10 · High
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