Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally
Elsdon Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031650302 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,945 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
17031650302 is a census tract in the Elsdon area of Chicago, IL. It scores 7.8/10 for landlords. Against Cook County at 45.6%, 27% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,278
Renter share20.3%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate18.8%
Median income$65,833
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7751, -87.7177 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elsdon scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
18.8% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,086 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Elsdon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 153Total filings over 15 yrs
- 4.59%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.4%Peak (2014)
- 12Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 140% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elsdon. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 30.5%Housing insecurity
- 16.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 39.5%Food insecurity
- 32.1%SNAP enrollment
- 17.0%Transit barriers
- 31.4%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 36.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elsdon
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.2/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
Housing insecurity runs 30.5% against 14.2% nationally. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points.
At $1,086 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 153 filings here across 15 tracked years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2014, when 9.4% of renter households were served.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031650302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031650302?
Census tract 17031650302 in the Elsdon neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031650302?
Median gross rent is $1,086/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031650302?
18.8% of residents in tract 17031650302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,945.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031650302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 52th, minority 94th, housing 31th.
Q5
Is tract 17031650302 considered part of Elsdon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031650302 fall within Elsdon (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031650302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 153 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031650302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.59% of renter households, peaking at 9.4% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031650302 struggle to pay rent?
About 30.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031650302 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031650302 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031650302 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
West Haven
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Trumbull Park Terrace
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Auburn Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Mandell
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Jarvis Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Bryn Mawr East
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Altgeld Gardens
8.1
/ 10 · High
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