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Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Elsdon Eviction Risk: Elevated

10 census tracts · pop 45,207 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.9/10 · range 5.7–7.8

Elsdon is a 10-tract neighborhood of Chicago, IL, population 45,207. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.9/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 55% against 29.3% citywide, putting Elsdon 25.4% over its own city.

Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.4/10. 26.6% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.7 to 7.8, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10.

At $1,104 a month, rents sit 23% under what the rest of Chicago commands. The severe-burden share is 17%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Food insecurity affects 30.1% of adults, 12.3 points above the national rate.

Filings are well documented here: 1,931 across 10 observed tracts. Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 19.1% of renter households. That places it #101 of 187 neighborhoods in Chicago. Judgments average 0.8% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

At 28% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
10 tracts · population-weighted
Elsdon vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.7% +87%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,104 -23%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$69,119 -8%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
11.4% -32%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
28.0% -48%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Elsdon and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 10 tracts span score 5.7–7.8

Why Elsdon scores 6.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
28% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
11.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.7 across tracts
2.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.5 across tracts
1.4
Risk score comparison

Elsdon vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Elsdon score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Elsdon: 6.96.9ElsdonNeighborhoodParent city: 6.76.7Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Elsdon?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.1 points from 5.7 to 7.8. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

10 tracts in Elsdon

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17031650302 7.8 4,945 27% $1,086
17031650301 7.8 4,863 63% $1,103
17031620400 7.8 4,540 54% $1,325
17031650100 7.1 4,622 80% $979
17031620300 7 7,080 47% $974
17031570300 6.8 5,951 62% $1,074
17031640100 6.5 1,348 58% $1,020
17031570500 6.3 2,699 43% $983
17031620200 6.3 1,948 73% $1,024
17031650200 5.7 7,211 52% $1,296
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 77

Pop-weighted across 10 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 86%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 64%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 88%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 45%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Elsdon

Aggregated across 10 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,931Total filings (sum)
  • 3.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.1%Peak year (2015)
  • 3.43%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Elsdon

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Elsdon

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Elsdon?

Elsdon scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 10 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Elsdon compare to Chicago overall?

Elsdon scores 0.2 points higher than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,104 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Elsdon?

Average gross rent in Elsdon is $1,104/month (pop-weighted across 10 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Elsdon residents are renters?

28% of Elsdon households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 45,207 residents.
Q5

Is Elsdon a high social-vulnerability area?

Elsdon sits in the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Elsdon have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Elsdon is census tract 17031650302 (score 7.8/10). Across the 10 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.7 to 7.8, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Elsdon for landlords?

Elsdon carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.9/10). Pop-weighted across 10 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Elsdon?

Elsdon has 45,297 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (85.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (11.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (1.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Elsdon

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Elsdon.

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