Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
South Park Manor Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031691000 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,655 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 8.1/10, tract 17031691000 in the South Park Manor Historic District area of Chicago, IL reads high for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,205
Renter share49.0%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate24.7%
Median income$64,361
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
79
th percentile
High
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7620, -87.6200 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Park Manor Historic District scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
24.7% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$1,224 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How South Park Manor Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 98%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 629Total filings over 15 yrs
- 6.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.4%Peak (2013)
- 59Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 136% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Park Manor Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.1%Housing insecurity
- 17.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.8%Food insecurity
- 32.3%SNAP enrollment
- 14.7%Transit barriers
- 9.0%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 33.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Park Manor Historic District
58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Cook County average of 45.6%. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10.
Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. SNAP participation runs 32.3% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 629 filings here across 15 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,224, 15% below the Chicago average. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 11.4% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 6.6% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031691000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031691000?
Census tract 17031691000 in the South Park Manor Historic District neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031691000?
Median gross rent is $1,224/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031691000?
24.7% of residents in tract 17031691000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,655.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031691000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 75th, minority 98th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 17031691000 considered part of South Park Manor Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031691000 fall within South Park Manor Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031691000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 629 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031691000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.63% of renter households, peaking at 11.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031691000 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031691000 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031691000 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031691000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Marquette Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Mayfair
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
East Hyde Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Arcade Row
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Becks Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
O'Keeffe
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marshall Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
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