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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Fox River Bluffs Eviction Risk: Lower , Elgin

Tract 17031804313 · Cook County, IL · pop 6,913 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 17031804313 sits in the Fox River Bluffs area of Elgin eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 6,913. It sits 3.1 points below the Cook County average of 6.1.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 13% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units2,160
Renter share18.9%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate8.5%
Median income$128,143

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Fox River Bluffs
Moderate
Within parent city
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 25 tracts In Elgin
Very Low
Within county
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#1,274 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very Low
Within state
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#2,873 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elgin and the region

Centroid at 42.0625, -88.2402 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fox River Bluffs scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elgin
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
8.5% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$2,337 rent vs county FMR
8.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elgin
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elgin
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elgin
3.5

How Fox River Bluffs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fox River Bluffs risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 804313Elgin: 4.04.0Elginparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fox River Bluffs

At $2,337 a month, rents run 72% over what the rest of Elgin commands. 30% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Cook County average of 45.6%.

The voucher gap is 32.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 8.3/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.1/10. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $128,143.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031804313

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031804313?

Census tract 17031804313 in the Fox River Bluffs neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031804313?

Median gross rent is $2,337/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031804313?

8.5% of residents in tract 17031804313 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,913.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031804313?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 29th, minority 78th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 17031804313 considered part of Fox River Bluffs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031804313 fall within Fox River Bluffs (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17031804313 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17031804313 compare to Elgin overall?

Tract 17031804313 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Elgin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elgin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elgin

Top eight tracts in Elgin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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