Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Elgin Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 17031804403 · Cook County, IL · pop 6,895 · 54% of tract blocks fall in Elgin
17031804403 is a census tract in Elgin, IL. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.7 points.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units2,746
Renter share34.5%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$81,100
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
22
th percentile
Low
National
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elgin and the region
Centroid at 42.0514, -88.2424 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elgin scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elgin
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,245 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elgin
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elgin
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elgin
3.5
How Elgin compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 19%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 776Total filings over 15 yrs
- 12.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.8%Peak (2012)
- 54Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 116% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.1%Housing insecurity
- 8.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.2%Food insecurity
- 15.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.4%Transit barriers
- 13.4%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 27.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elgin
25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.6/10.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Against Cook County at 45.6%, 37% of renters here are cost-burdened. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.1/10.
Court records carry 776 eviction filings across 15 observed years. The worst year on record was 2012, when 12.8% of renter households were served.
Average gross rent is $1,245, 9% below the Elgin average. In a typical year about 12.8% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.6/10. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031804403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031804403?
Census tract 17031804403 in Elgin scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031804403?
Median gross rent is $1,245/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031804403?
6.6% of residents in tract 17031804403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,895.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031804403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 61th, minority 76th, housing 19th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031804403?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 776 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031804403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.80% of renter households, peaking at 12.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 17031804403 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17031804403 compare to Elgin overall?
Tract 17031804403 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Elgin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elgin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elgin
Top eight tracts in Elgin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Elgin Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Elgin Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
College Green
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Columbia Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Elgin Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Elgin Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Century Oaks
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Elgin Historic District
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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