Graceland West Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. At $1,193 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Chicago commands. The filing record is not thin: 868 evictions over 15 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2012, when 7.0% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.