Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally
Pacific Junction Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031831200 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,710 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 17031831200 sits in the Pacific Junction area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.1/10. It is home to 4,710 residents. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,543
Renter share54.6%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate10.5%
Median income$61,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9153, -87.7323 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pacific Junction scores 7.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
10.5% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,299 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Pacific Junction compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 76%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 379Total filings over 15 yrs
- 3.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.1%Peak (2001)
- 29Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pacific Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.8%Housing insecurity
- 13.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.9%Food insecurity
- 26.6%SNAP enrollment
- 15.0%Transit barriers
- 28.6%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 33.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pacific Junction
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 28.6% against 11.3% nationally.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. SNAP participation runs 26.6% against 15.2% nationally.
Cost burden runs 52% here against 45.6% across Cook County. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.
Court records carry 379 eviction filings across 15 observed years. At $1,299 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Chicago commands.
Filings peaked in 2001 at 4.1% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 85th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.4/10.
Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031831200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031831200?
Census tract 17031831200 in the Pacific Junction neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031831200?
Median gross rent is $1,299/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031831200?
10.5% of residents in tract 17031831200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,710.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031831200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 83th, minority 92th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 17031831200 considered part of Pacific Junction?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031831200 fall within Pacific Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031831200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 379 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031831200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.12% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031831200 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031831200 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031831200 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031831200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Indian Village
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Park Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Placerdale
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Brookdale
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Grand Crossing
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Moreland
8.1
/ 10 · High
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