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Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Pacific Junction Eviction Risk: Elevated

16 census tracts · pop 53,560 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.4/10 · range 6–8.1

Pacific Junction takes in 16 census tracts of Chicago, IL and houses 53,560 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.4/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 49% against 29.3% citywide, putting Pacific Junction 19.7% over its own city.

25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Scores across the 16 constituent tracts range from 6 to 8.1. A 2.1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 26.4% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. SNAP participation is 28.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. Filings are well documented here: 7,072 across 16 observed tracts. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.8/10.

The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 12.0% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 3.7% in 2015, is well off that peak.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.4
Elevated
16 tracts · population-weighted
Pacific Junction vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.0% +67%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,365 -5%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$61,596 -18%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
22.7% +35%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
59.8% +11%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Pacific Junction and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 16 tracts span score 6–8.1

Why Pacific Junction scores 7.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
60% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
22.7% below poverty line · Range 1.4–10.0 across tracts
5.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–5.3 across tracts
2.8
Risk score comparison

Pacific Junction vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Pacific Junction score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Pacific Junction: 7.47.4Pacific JunctionNeighborhoodParent city: 6.76.7Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Pacific Junction?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.1 points from 6 to 8.1. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

16 tracts in Pacific Junction

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17031231200 8.1 5,957 77% $1,207
17031230700 8.1 5,773 64% $1,510
17031230500 8.1 3,080 59% $886
17031222800 7.9 1,052 37% $1,451
17031230600 7.7 8,977 44% $1,199
17031231100 7.7 1,362 53% $1,335
17031230300 7.4 905 48% $1,448
17031230900 7.3 4,903 47% $1,762
17031230400 7.2 2,116 51% $1,387
17031831200 7.1 4,710 52% $1,299
17031220901 7 3,090 45% $1,579
17031230800 7 1,029 37% $1,639
17031200402 6.6 5,072 27% $1,170
17031221000 6.5 2,571 28% $1,816
17031230200 6.3 1,977 36% $1,358
17031222900 6 986 27% $1,541
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 84

Pop-weighted across 16 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 89%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 69%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 88%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 61%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Pacific Junction

Aggregated across 16 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 7,072Total filings (sum)
  • 4.62%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.0%Peak year (2013)
  • 4.37%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Pacific Junction

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Pacific Junction

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Pacific Junction?

Pacific Junction scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 16 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Pacific Junction compare to Chicago overall?

Pacific Junction scores 0.7 points higher than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,365 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Pacific Junction?

Average gross rent in Pacific Junction is $1,365/month (pop-weighted across 16 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Pacific Junction residents are renters?

60% of Pacific Junction households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 53,560 residents.
Q5

Is Pacific Junction a high social-vulnerability area?

Pacific Junction sits in the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Pacific Junction have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Pacific Junction is census tract 17031231200 (score 8.1/10). Across the 16 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6 to 8.1, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Pacific Junction for landlords?

Pacific Junction carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.4/10). Pop-weighted across 16 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Pacific Junction?

Pacific Junction has 52,872 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (63%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (14.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Pacific Junction

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Pacific Junction.

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