Within neighborhood
47
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
Pacific Junction Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031230400 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,116 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 17031230400 covers part of the Pacific Junction area of Chicago, IL, and scores 7.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units774
Renter share44.8%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate19.6%
Median income$91,771
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9118, -87.7216 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pacific Junction scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
19.6% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,387 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Pacific Junction compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 68%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 153Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.72%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.2%Peak (2013)
- 10Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pacific Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.7%Housing insecurity
- 12.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.6%Food insecurity
- 24.2%SNAP enrollment
- 13.1%Transit barriers
- 22.4%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 30.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pacific Junction
The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.5/10.
The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 51% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Cook County average of 45.6%. Housing insecurity runs 23.7% against 14.2% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 24.2% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 153 filings here across 15 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2013, when 5.2% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031230400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031230400?
Census tract 17031230400 in the Pacific Junction neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031230400?
Median gross rent is $1,387/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031230400?
19.6% of residents in tract 17031230400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,116.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031230400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 77th, minority 87th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 17031230400 considered part of Pacific Junction?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031230400 fall within Pacific Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031230400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 153 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031230400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.72% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031230400 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031230400 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031230400 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031230400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Crawford
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Park Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marquette Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marshall Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Edgewater Glen
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Windsor Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Chester Highlands
8.1
/ 10 · High
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