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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Homan Square Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031838700 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,737 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 8.1/10, tract 17031838700 in the Homan Square area of Chicago, IL reads high for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 45%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 54% Stable renters 20% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units1,621
Renter share74.1%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate45.1%
Median income$24,074

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 8 tracts In Homan Square
Low
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#100 of 792 tracts In Chicago
High
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#260 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8626, -87.7202 · click any tract to drill in

Why Homan Square scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
45.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,034 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Homan Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Homan Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 838700Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,049Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 6.27%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.9%Peak (2013)
  • 68Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318387002001: 80 filings (6.72/100 renter HHs)2002: 96 filings (8.06/100 renter HHs)2003: 57 filings (4.79/100 renter HHs)2004: 58 filings (4.87/100 renter HHs)2005: 36 filings (3.93/100 renter HHs)2006: 47 filings (5.13/100 renter HHs)2007: 63 filings (6.87/100 renter HHs)2008: 71 filings (7.74/100 renter HHs)2009: 66 filings (7.20/100 renter HHs)2010: 71 filings (6.14/100 renter HHs)2011: 67 filings (5.39/100 renter HHs)2012: 79 filings (6.36/100 renter HHs)2013: 110 filings (8.86/100 renter HHs)2014: 80 filings (6.44/100 renter HHs)2015: 68 filings (5.48/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Homan Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Homan Square

73% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Cook County average of 45.6%. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Food insecurity runs 64.3% against 17.8% nationally. Annualized rent equals 52% of average household income of $24,074, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 45%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. This is renter territory: 74% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Disability prevalence runs 47.3% against 31.5% nationally. At $1,034 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Chicago commands.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,049 filings here across 15 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2013 at 8.9% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 6.3% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031838700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031838700?

Census tract 17031838700 in the Homan Square neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031838700?

Median gross rent is $1,034/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031838700?

45.1% of residents in tract 17031838700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,737.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031838700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 99th, minority 93th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 17031838700 considered part of Homan Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031838700 fall within Homan Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031838700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,049 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031838700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.27% of renter households, peaking at 8.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031838700 struggle to pay rent?

About 48.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 39.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031838700 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031838700 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031838700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 46% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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