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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

South Branch Addition Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031839800 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,662 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

17031839800 is a census tract in the South Branch Addition area of Chicago, IL. It scores 7.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,662 residents. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 36% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,136
Renter share69.1%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate17.4%
Median income$79,643

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In South Branch Addition
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#393 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Moderate
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#452 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#476 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8351, -87.6432 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Branch Addition scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
17.4% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,344 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How South Branch Addition compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Branch Addition risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.37.3This tracttract 839800Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 168Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 1.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.3%Peak (2012)
  • 9Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318398002001: 11 filings (1.56/100 renter HHs)2002: 7 filings (0.99/100 renter HHs)2003: 10 filings (1.42/100 renter HHs)2004: 13 filings (1.85/100 renter HHs)2005: 10 filings (1.32/100 renter HHs)2006: 13 filings (1.72/100 renter HHs)2007: 12 filings (1.59/100 renter HHs)2008: 14 filings (1.85/100 renter HHs)2009: 4 filings (0.53/100 renter HHs)2010: 9 filings (1.23/100 renter HHs)2011: 17 filings (2.20/100 renter HHs)2012: 18 filings (2.33/100 renter HHs)2013: 11 filings (1.42/100 renter HHs)2014: 10 filings (1.30/100 renter HHs)2015: 9 filings (1.17/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 18% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Branch Addition. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Branch Addition

The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.

It sits 1.2 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 168 evictions over 15 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2012, when 2.3% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.4/10. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031839800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031839800?

Census tract 17031839800 in the South Branch Addition neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031839800?

Median gross rent is $1,344/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031839800?

17.4% of residents in tract 17031839800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,662.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031839800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 11th, minority 68th, housing 30th.
Q5

Is tract 17031839800 considered part of South Branch Addition?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031839800 fall within South Branch Addition (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031839800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 168 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031839800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.50% of renter households, peaking at 2.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031839800 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031839800 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031839800 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031839800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 90% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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