Within neighborhood
60
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,927 of 84,120 nationally
South Branch Addition Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031600400 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,963 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 17031600400 covers part of the South Branch Addition area of Chicago, IL, and scores 7.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,963. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,595
Renter share53.1%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate15.8%
Median income$63,497
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
88
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8417, -87.6439 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Branch Addition scores 7.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
15.8% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,229 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How South Branch Addition compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 99%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 173Total filings over 15 yrs
- 1.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.1%Peak (2004)
- 5Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 44% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Branch Addition. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.9%Housing insecurity
- 8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.7%Food insecurity
- 20.9%SNAP enrollment
- 10.6%Transit barriers
- 12.9%No health insurance
- 14.1%Frequent mental distress
- 28.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Branch Addition
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2/10. Food insecurity runs 26.7% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 173 filings here across 15 tracked years.
Average gross rent is $1,229, 15% below the Chicago average. The worst year on record was 2004, when 2.1% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 8.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031600400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031600400?
Census tract 17031600400 in the South Branch Addition neighborhood scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031600400?
Median gross rent is $1,229/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031600400?
15.8% of residents in tract 17031600400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,963.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031600400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 87th, minority 79th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 17031600400 considered part of South Branch Addition?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031600400 fall within South Branch Addition (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031600400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 173 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031600400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.35% of renter households, peaking at 2.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031600400 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031600400 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031600400 scores 7.6/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031600400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 99% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
O'Keeffe
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marshall Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Schorsch
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Central Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Chatham Fields
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marquette Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Related