Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally
Heart of Chicago Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 17031841300 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,317 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 17031841300 covers part of the Heart of Chicago area of Chicago, IL, and scores 7.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,317. 29% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Cook County average of 45.6%.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,930
Renter share52.0%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate19.0%
Median income$69,327
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8440, -87.6842 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heart of Chicago scores 7.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
19.0% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,333 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Heart of Chicago compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 29%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 234Total filings over 15 yrs
- 1.46%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.6%Peak (2010)
- 15Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Heart of Chicago. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.8%Housing insecurity
- 10.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.1%Food insecurity
- 17.0%SNAP enrollment
- 10.7%Transit barriers
- 19.4%No health insurance
- 14.7%Frequent mental distress
- 26.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heart of Chicago
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.5/10.
The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Court records carry 234 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.4% against 11.3% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2010, when 2.6% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031841300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031841300?
Census tract 17031841300 in the Heart of Chicago neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031841300?
Median gross rent is $1,333/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031841300?
19.0% of residents in tract 17031841300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,317.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031841300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 36th, minority 87th, housing 73th.
Q5
Is tract 17031841300 considered part of Heart of Chicago?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031841300 fall within Heart of Chicago (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031841300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 234 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031841300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.46% of renter households, peaking at 2.6% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031841300 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031841300 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031841300 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031841300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 29% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Park Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Placerdale
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Brookdale
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Grand Crossing
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Moreland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Chester Highlands
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Mandell
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Oakwood Shores
8.1
/ 10 · High
Related