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Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Heart of Chicago Eviction Risk: Elevated

4 census tracts · pop 15,993 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.7/10 · range 7.1–8.1

Heart of Chicago is a 4-tract neighborhood of Chicago, IL and houses 15,993 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.7/10, in the Elevated tier. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1.9/10.

Severe burden reaches 20%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10.

22.6% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 7.1 to 8.1, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Cost burden runs 35% against 29.3% citywide, putting Heart of Chicago 5.2% over its own city.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 22.8% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Court records carry 1,086 eviction filings across its 4 observed tracts. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. At $1,222 a month, rents sit 15% under what the rest of Chicago commands.

Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 3.6% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 1.7% in 2015, is well off that peak.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
Heart of Chicago vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
34.5% +18%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,222 -15%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$69,990 -7%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
18.9% +12%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
64.8% +20%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Heart of Chicago and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 7.1–8.1

Why Heart of Chicago scores 7.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
35% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
65% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
18.9% below poverty line · Range 3.4–6.5 across tracts
4.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.3–2.6 across tracts
1.9
Risk score comparison

Heart of Chicago vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Heart of Chicago score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Heart of Chicago: 7.77.7Heart of ChicagoNeighborhoodParent city: 6.76.7Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Heart of Chicago?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1 points from 7.1 to 8.1. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Heart of Chicago

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17031310900 8.1 4,914 37% $1,259
17031841300 7.7 4,317 29% $1,333
17031841200 7.4 4,414 36% $1,112
17031843200 7.1 2,348 36% $1,149
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 79

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 82%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 66%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 85%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 55%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Heart of Chicago

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,086Total filings (sum)
  • 1.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.6%Peak year (2013)
  • 1.60%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Heart of Chicago

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Heart of Chicago

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Heart of Chicago?

Heart of Chicago scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Heart of Chicago compare to Chicago overall?

Heart of Chicago scores 1.0 points higher than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,222 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Heart of Chicago?

Average gross rent in Heart of Chicago eviction risk is $1,222/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Heart of Chicago residents are renters?

65% of Heart of Chicago households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 15,993 residents.
Q5

Is Heart of Chicago a high social-vulnerability area?

Heart of Chicago sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Heart of Chicago have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Heart of Chicago is census tract 17031310900 (score 8.1/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.1 to 8.1, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is Heart of Chicago for landlords?

Heart of Chicago eviction risk carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.7/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Heart of Chicago?

Heart of Chicago has 15,874 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (74.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Heart of Chicago

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Heart of Chicago.

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