Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Douglass Park Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031843100 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,564 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 8.1/10, tract 17031843100 in the Douglass Park area of Chicago, IL reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,564. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units517
Renter share72.3%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate27.8%
Median income$61,648
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8626, -87.6995 · click any tract to drill in
Why Douglass Park scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
27.8% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$1,282 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Douglass Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 66%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 14%Grade C
- 22%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 368Total filings over 15 yrs
- 5.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.5%Peak (2002)
- 27Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Douglass Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 30.3%Housing insecurity
- 20.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.1%Food insecurity
- 38.8%SNAP enrollment
- 17.8%Transit barriers
- 12.7%No health insurance
- 19.3%Frequent mental distress
- 33.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Douglass Park
SNAP participation runs 38.8% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 37.1% against 17.8% nationally.
Cost burden runs 57% here against 45.6% across Cook County. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10.
Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. 72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. Court records carry 368 eviction filings across 15 observed years.
At $1,282 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Chicago commands. The worst year on record was 2002, when 8.5% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 5.7% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031843100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031843100?
Census tract 17031843100 in the Douglass Park neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031843100?
Median gross rent is $1,282/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031843100?
27.8% of residents in tract 17031843100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,564.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031843100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 66th, minority 89th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 17031843100 considered part of Douglass Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031843100 fall within Douglass Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031843100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 368 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031843100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.73% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031843100 struggle to pay rent?
About 30.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031843100 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031843100 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031843100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 22% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Heart of Chicago
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Bryn Mawr West
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Stewart Ridge
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Little India
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Pacific Junction
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Mandell
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Oakwood Shores
8.1
/ 10 · High
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