3 census tracts · pop 4,565 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.6/10
· range 6.4–8.1
Douglass Park spans 3 census tracts of Chicago, IL and houses 4,565 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7.6/10, Elevated tier. This is a renter market: 79% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Against a Chicago baseline of 29.3%, 39% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 29.1% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.
The poverty rate is 28%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. The severe-burden share is 20%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 6.4 to 8.1, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. 18.5% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. Filings are well documented here: 759 across 3 observed tracts.
Filing activity peaked in 2008 at 8.6% of renter households. Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 7/10. Recent filings have not receded much: 6.1% in 2015 against a 8.6% peak.
Among the 187 mapped neighborhoods of Chicago, it ranks #66 by risk, the middle third. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.6 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
7.6
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Douglass Park vs ChicagoHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority90%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport51%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Douglass Park
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
759Total filings (sum)
4.74%Avg annual filing rate
8.6%Peak year (2008)
6.11%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Douglass Park
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
29.3%Housing insecurity
18.6%Utility shutoff threat
35.8%Food insecurity
34.8%SNAP enrollment
17.2%No health insurance
32.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Douglass Park
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Douglass Park?
Douglass Park scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Douglass Park compare to Chicago overall?
Douglass Park scores 0.9 points higher than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,433 vs $1,440.
Q3
What is the average rent in Douglass Park?
Average gross rent in Douglass Park is $1,433/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Douglass Park residents are renters?
79% of Douglass Park households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 4,565 residents.
Q5
Is Douglass Park a high social-vulnerability area?
Douglass Park sits in the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Douglass Park have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Douglass Park is census tract 17031843300 (score 8.1/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.4 to 8.1, a spread of 1.7 points.
Q7
How safe is Douglass Park for landlords?
Douglass Park carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.6/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Douglass Park?
Douglass Park has 4,574 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (45.5%), Hispanic / Latino (38.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (11.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
